Nepal's economy is still finding its footing after last year's political disruption, but manufacturing is one of the few sectors showing real acceleration.
For anyone weighing business ideas in South Asia right now, that acceleration is worth noticing. The secondary sector, which covers manufacturing and construction, is expected to grow close to 5.77% this fiscal year, a sharp jump from 3.40% previously (National Statistics Office).
This briefing breaks down where demand is rising, which government incentives actually apply to new industrial units, and what it realistically costs to set one up in Nepal today.
Cement, vegetable ghee, soybean oil, iron rods and wiring cable are driving the current rebound in Nepal's manufacturing business sector, according to National Statistics Office production data.
Standalone figure: Nepal's industrial sector, dominated by manufacturing and construction, is projected to grow 5.77% in FY 2025/26 compared to 3.40% in FY 2024/25, a near-70% acceleration year-on-year (National Statistics Office estimate).
Rising imports of raw materials, including soybean oil, zinc sheets and coal, point to expanding domestic processing capacity rather than shrinking industry, since factories need more inputs to keep up with finished-goods demand.
Five ordinances passed in March 2025 were designed specifically to ease industrial bottlenecks, giving new manufacturing business Nepal ventures a somewhat smoother regulatory path than existed even two years ago.
Construction remains the single biggest buyer of Nepali-made industrial goods, pulling cement, steel and concrete products through domestic supply chains rather than imports.
Rural and urban households alike are driving demand for basic consumer goods such as vegetable ghee, edible oils, dairy products and packaged foods, categories where local manufacturing business in Nepal, Nepal already has an established base but still leaves room for new capacity.
Nepal's hydropower expansion, backed by a technically feasible potential of roughly 45,000 MW, is also creating steady institutional demand for wiring cable, electrical fittings and industrial equipment.
The Industrial Enterprises Act, 2076 (2019) is the core law governing how a new manufacturing business Nepal investor registers and qualifies for incentives. It sorts industries into five tiers, cottage, micro, small, medium and large, each with its own tax treatment and compliance load.
Micro industries operating at the time the Act commenced received a full income tax exemption, while cottage and small-scale industries with at least NPR 10 million in operation qualify for a 50% income tax exemption (Industrial Enterprises Act, 2076).
Sector-specific relief also applies: local tea processing, dairy and clothing manufacturers can claim a 50% exemption on income tax from production sales, a targeted push toward value-added processing rather than raw exports.
Provincial Industry and Investment Promotion Boards, established under the Act, can extend additional provincial-level incentives to industries registered and operating within that province, adding a layer of support beyond the national scheme.
Registration itself runs through the Department of Industry for larger or foreign-invested units, or the Department of Cottage and Small Industries for smaller ones, with the Foreign Investment and Technology Transfer Act, 2075 governing FDI-backed manufacturing plants.
Manufacturing contracted 2.02% in FY 2023/24 before rebounding to an estimated 3.78% growth in 2025, driven largely by vegetable oil, cement and plywood output (national sector data).
That rebound has since accelerated further, with the secondary sector's 5.77% projected growth for FY 2025/26 reflecting stronger cement, ghee and iron rod production alongside recovering capacity utilisation.
Political stability remains the wildcard. The World Bank trimmed its FY 2025/26 growth forecast to 2.1% for the broader economy following September 2025 unrest, even as manufacturing itself continued to show resilience.
The table below tracks Nepal's manufacturing and secondary sector growth trend with a forecast to 2035, built on a stated CAGR assumption tied to current reform momentum.
|
Year |
Manufacturing / Secondary Sector Growth |
Basis |
|
2022 |
Recovery phase post-pandemic (actual) |
Central Bureau of Statistics |
|
2023/24 |
-2.02% contraction (actual) |
National Statistics Office |
|
2024/25 |
3.40% (actual) |
National Statistics Office |
|
2025/26 |
5.77% (estimate) |
National Statistics Office, April 2026 |
|
2027 |
~5.5–6% (industry estimate) |
Assumed continuation of reform momentum |
|
2030 |
~6–6.5% (industry estimate) |
Assumed CAGR of ~5.8% from 2026 base |
|
2035 |
~7–8% cumulative sector expansion band (industry estimate) |
Assumed CAGR extension, industrial policy target horizon |
If Nepal sustains its current reform pace, manufacturing's share of GDP could edge up from today's roughly 4.4–5% toward the higher single digits by 2035, an industry estimate built on an assumed compounding growth rate near 5.8% from the FY 2025/26 base.
That path depends on political stability holding, since the World Bank's downward revision after the September 2025 unrest shows how quickly broader economic forecasts can shift even when manufacturing itself stays resilient. Entrepreneurs entering during this recovery window may find less competition than they will once the sector's current momentum becomes widely recognised.
Nepal imported roughly USD 17.78 billion in goods during FY 2024/25 against exports of just USD 3.74 billion, a gap that signals substantial import-substitution potential for local manufacturers (national trade data).
Standalone figure: petroleum products, machinery, gold, electrical goods and medicine make up Nepal's largest import categories, several of which, particularly electrical goods and basic machinery components, are realistic targets for new domestic manufacturing business in Nepal ventures (national trade data, FY 2024/25).
On the export side, clothing, pulses, carpets, textiles and juice remain Nepal's strongest categories, with India absorbing about 67% of exports and the United States around 12% in FY 2024/25. The expiry of the US Nepal Trade Preference Program in December 2025 does add uncertainty for export-focused apparel and handicraft manufacturers targeting the American market.
|
Company |
Focus / Scale |
|
Nepal Lever / Unilever Nepal |
Large-scale consumer goods and FMCG manufacturing |
|
Bottlers Nepal |
Beverage bottling and manufacturing, Kathmandu and Balaju |
|
Nepal Battery Company |
Automotive and industrial battery manufacturing |
|
Panchakanya Group |
Steel, pipes and construction material manufacturing |
|
Shivam Cement |
Cement production, one of Nepal's largest cement manufacturers |
|
Bansbari Leather and Shoe Factory |
Footwear and leather goods manufacturing, Kathmandu |
|
Nebico Pvt. Ltd. |
Food and biscuit manufacturing, national distribution |
|
Reliance Spinning Mills |
Textile and yarn manufacturing, Birgunj industrial corridor |
Value-added agro-processing, tea, dairy and edible oils, carries the clearest long-term upside given the tax exemptions already written into the Industrial Enterprises Act specifically for these categories.
Electrical goods and cable manufacturing are likely to expand fastest as hydropower capacity comes online and construction demand keeps pulling in related industrial inputs.
A consultant's note: manufacturers that register early under the small or cottage industry tiers lock in tax exemptions before any policy tightening, and pairing production with the border trade corridors near Birgunj or Biratnagar cuts logistics costs meaningfully compared with Kathmandu Valley-only operations.
Figures below are industry estimates in Nepalese Rupees (NPR) for small to mid-scale manufacturing projects; actual costs vary by product category, machinery source, and province.
|
Cost Head |
Estimated Range (NPR) |
Notes |
|
Business registration & licensing (DOI / Cottage & Small Industries) |
20,000 – 150,000 |
Varies by industry tier and province |
|
Land / factory shed (lease, per annum) |
500,000 – 3,000,000 |
Higher in Kathmandu Valley than border towns |
|
Basic machinery & equipment (small-scale) |
2,000,000 – 10,000,000 |
Higher for imported machinery |
|
Working capital (first 6 months) |
1,000,000 – 5,000,000 |
Raw materials, wages, utilities |
|
Utility connection & power backup |
300,000 – 1,000,000 |
Grid reliability improving with hydropower expansion |
|
Total minimum project cost (industry estimate) |
2,000,000 – 20,000,000 |
Small to mid-scale manufacturing unit |
Register with the Department of Industry or the Department of Cottage and Small Industries based on scale, then apply for sector-specific licences and any applicable tax exemptions.
Small-scale units typically start from NPR 2 million to NPR 20 million, though this is an industry estimate and varies by sector and location.
Cement, vegetable oil and ghee, dairy processing, wiring cable, and agro-processing currently show the strongest demand growth.
Yes. The Industrial Enterprises Act, 2076 offers income tax exemptions ranging from 50% to 100% depending on industry tier and sector.
Nepal permits FDI in most manufacturing sectors under FITTA 2075, though FDI as a share of GDP remains low at under 1%.
Political instability, low capacity utilisation historically near 52%, and heavy reliance on imported raw materials and machinery.
Kathmandu Valley remains the commercial centre, while Biratnagar, Birgunj and Bhairahawa offer lower costs and border trade access.
Nepal imports far more than it exports, roughly USD 17.78 billion in imports against USD 3.74 billion in exports in FY 2024/25.
Cottage and small-scale industries with at least NPR 10 million in operation can claim a 50% income tax exemption under the Industrial Enterprises Act.
Manufacturing's GDP share could rise from around 4.4-5% today toward the higher single digits by 2035 under sustained reform, an industry estimate.
Agricultural inputs like oilseeds, tea, jute, sugarcane and dairy, along with limestone for cement, are the most accessible local resources.
Nepal's manufacturing sector is rebounding faster than its broader economy right now, and that gap is exactly where new entrants can find room to move.
Tax incentives under the Industrial Enterprises Act, a widening import bill that signals unmet local demand, and steady hydropower-linked industrial growth together build a credible case for entering now rather than waiting. The businesses that plan around Nepal's real constraints, political risk and import dependence for machinery, rather than around headline optimism, will be the ones still standing five years from now.
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